Circular TG-1.8 · Section 1: Using Ocean Accounts in Decision-Making · 1 September 2026
OA and Project-Level Finance
Circular TG-1.8 · Section 1: Using Ocean Accounts in Decision-Making · 1 September 2026
OA and Project-Level Finance
Helps conservation finance practitioners and project developers use Ocean Accounts to structure, verify, and report on project-level finance instruments.
Helps conservation finance practitioners and project developers use Ocean Accounts to structure, verify, and report on project-level finance instruments.
- Read first
- TG-0.1 General Introduction to Ocean Accounts, TG-1.7 OA and Multilateral Development Finance, TG-1.9 Safe Usage of Monetary Valuation, TG-2.6 Ocean-related Investment, TG-3.1 Asset Accounts, TG-6.2 Mangrove and Coastal Wetland Accounting
- After this circular
- TG-6.3 Seagrass Ecosystem Accounting
Standards this circular implements
- Implements SEEA Ecosystem Accounting: SEEA EA para 9.31. PES contract payments are not used as observed prices for ecosystem services in the accounts, because many payments are income support or restoration funding rather than a price for a specific service. — §3.3
- Implements SNA 2025: SNA 2025 paras 35.120–35.127 (sustainability-linked debt as supplementary 'of which' items). Blue bonds and related instruments are monitored inside the financial accounts framework rather than as a separate ocean finance standard. — §3.1
1. Outcome
Section titled “1. Outcome”1After reading this Circular, conservation finance practitioners and project developers will be able to use Ocean Accounts to structure, verify and report on project-level finance instruments — blue bonds and sustainability-linked securities, debt-for-nature swaps, payments for ecosystem services, blue carbon instruments, parametric insurance and blended finance. For each, Sections 3.1 to 3.4 state which account entries supply the baseline, which supply the KPIs, and which support verification; Table 0 summarises the field. Section 3.7 works a mangrove restoration cost-benefit analysis and Section 3.8 gives a seven-step procedure for a project developer.
2Country-level readiness to support these instruments — whether the evidence base, counterfactual, targets and monitoring commitment are in place — is assessed in TG-0.8 Implementation Readiness Assessment Section 3.8 rather than here, and disclosure-framework mapping in TG-1.11 OA and the Private Sector Section 3.3.
3The 2025 System of National Accounts recognises sustainable finance as a measurement domain, defining ESG (Environmental, Social, Governance) finance and green finance as components of financial instruments that sustain or improve environmental and social conditions.1 Ocean Accounts operationalise these concepts for marine contexts by providing the structured data needed to assess ocean-related risks, dependencies, and opportunities. Sustainable ocean finance directly supports SDG 14 (“Life Below Water”) targets, including Target 14.7 on increasing economic benefits from sustainable use of marine resources.2 The Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework Target 15 calls on businesses and financial institutions to regularly monitor, assess, and transparently disclose their nature-related risks, dependencies, and impacts, a requirement that Ocean Accounts can support.3
4Decision Use Cases
5Project-level finance decisions supported by Ocean Accounts include:
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Cost-benefit analysis for restoration projects — Using ecosystem service values from Ocean Accounts to assess whether expected benefits of mangrove restoration, seagrass rehabilitation, or coral reef protection exceed project costs over the relevant time horizon.4
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TNFD-aligned impact reporting — Demonstrating changes in ecosystem condition, extent, and service provision resulting from financed activities, meeting TNFD disclosure requirements for nature-related impacts and dependencies.5
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Project ROI assessment — Calculating return on investment for blue economy projects by quantifying multiple ecosystem service benefits (carbon sequestration, coastal protection, fisheries habitat, tourism amenity) using comparable monetary valuation methods from TG-2.4 Environmental (including Ecosystem) Goods and Services Section 3.10.6
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Baseline and counterfactual scenarios — Establishing pre-project conditions and projected no-action baselines against which project impacts can be measured, enabling additionality demonstration required by carbon credit standards and impact investors.7
10This Circular is relevant to project developers, conservation finance practitioners, sovereign debt managers, development finance institutions, and account compilers supporting sustainable ocean finance initiatives. The guidance builds on the multilateral finance context described in TG-1.7 OA and Multilateral Development Finance, the valuation methods in TG-2.4 Section 3.10 and the guidance on whether and when to value in TG-1.9 Safe Usage of Monetary Valuation, and the ecosystem asset foundations in TG-3.1 Assets. It also supports the ecosystem-specific accounting methodologies in TG-6.2 Mangrove and Coastal Wetland Accounting and TG-6.3 Seagrass Ecosystem Accounting, which provide blue carbon measurement foundations relevant to many of the finance instruments discussed here.
2. Requirements
Section titled “2. Requirements”1Essential prerequisites:
- 2TG-0.1 General Introduction to Ocean Accounts — for the conceptual framework and key components of Ocean Accounts
- 3TG-1.7 OA and Multilateral Development Finance — for the multilateral finance context and how development finance institutions engage with ocean accounting
4Helpful background:
- 5TG-2.4 Environmental (including Ecosystem) Goods and Services Section 3.10 — for valuation methodology selection and the exchange value hierarchy
- 6TG-3.1 Assets — for ecosystem asset accounting foundations and natural capital measurement
- 7TG-2.6 Ocean-related Investment — for investment indicator compilation using the GFCF framework
- 8TG-6.2 Mangrove and Coastal Wetland Accounting — for blue carbon accounting in mangroves and coastal wetlands
- 9TG-6.3 Seagrass Ecosystem Accounting — for seagrass carbon and ecosystem services measurement
- 10TG-6.9 Offshore Energy Thematic Methods — for project-level accounting in offshore renewable energy developments
11Readers approaching Section 1 for the first time should begin with TG-1.0 Ocean Accounting and the Blue/Ocean Economy, the framing circular for the section, which sets out the ocean economy terminology used throughout, what an ocean account can and cannot certify about a blue economy claim, and the map from a policy question to the circular that answers it. It is recommended reading, not a prerequisite.
3. Guidance Material
Section titled “3. Guidance Material”3.1 Blue Bonds and Ocean-Linked Securities
Section titled “3.1 Blue Bonds and Ocean-Linked Securities”1Ocean-linked finance instruments differ in risk profile, tenor and the account inputs they require. Table 0 summarises the field; Sections 3.1 to 3.4 treat each instrument in turn.
2Table 0: Ocean finance instruments and their account inputs
| Instrument | Risk Profile | Typical Tenor | Key Account Inputs | Primary Outcome Metric |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue bond | Low-medium | 5-15 years | Monetary asset accounts, service flow accounts | Use-of-proceeds verification, KPI achievement |
| Parametric insurance | Event-driven | Annual renewal | Condition accounts, service flow baselines | Trigger parameter exceedance |
| Blue carbon credit | Medium | 20-30 years | Carbon stock accounts, extent accounts | Verified emission reductions (tCO2e) |
| Blended finance | Varies by tranche | 5-20 years | Full suite of accounts | Development impact indicators |
| Debt-for-nature swap | Sovereign | 10-20 years | Extent accounts, condition accounts | Conservation commitment compliance |
3Parametric insurance. Parametric (or index-based) insurance instruments provide rapid payouts when predefined environmental parameters are triggered, without requiring traditional loss assessment. For ocean contexts, parametric insurance can cover coral reef damage from hurricanes (with payouts triggered by storm intensity thresholds), fisheries losses from harmful algal blooms (triggered by chlorophyll concentration), or coastal flood damage (triggered by sea level or storm surge measurements). Ocean Accounts contribute to parametric insurance design by:
- 4Providing historical baseline data on ecosystem condition that informs the selection of trigger parameters
- 5Quantifying the economic value of ecosystem services at risk, which determines appropriate coverage levels
- 6Documenting the relationship between ecosystem condition changes and economic losses through supply and use table analysis
- 7Supporting post-event assessment of ecosystem recovery using time-series condition accounts
8Blended finance structures. Blended finance uses catalytic capital from public or philanthropic sources to mobilise additional private capital for sustainable development. In ocean contexts, blended finance structures typically involve concessional debt or first-loss guarantees from MDBs or philanthropic foundations, combined with commercial investment from private investors. Ocean Accounts support blended finance by providing the common evidence base that all parties in the capital stack can reference: concessional providers use account data to justify the development rationale, whilst commercial investors use the same data for risk assessment and return estimation.
9Blue bonds are debt instruments where proceeds are earmarked for ocean conservation, sustainable marine resource management, or ocean-based climate adaptation.8 Ocean Accounts provide the foundational information architecture needed to structure, monitor, and verify blue bond instruments.
10Structuring Blue Bonds with Account Data
11Ocean Accounts support blue bond structuring in several ways:
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Baseline establishment. Ecosystem extent and condition accounts establish pre-project baselines for marine natural capital assets such as mangroves, seagrass meadows, coral reefs, and fish stocks. These baselines are essential for defining conservation targets and measuring additionality.9
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Service quantification. Ecosystem service flow accounts quantify the value of services such as coastal protection, carbon sequestration, and fisheries production that blue bond proceeds aim to protect or enhance. The SEEA EA provides internationally recognised methodologies for valuing these services using exchange value concepts consistent with national accounts.10
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Verifying use of proceeds. Physical supply and use tables track how marine resources and ecosystem services are used, supporting verification that bond proceeds support intended ocean-positive activities.
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Measuring outcomes. Time-series account data records changes in ecosystem extent, condition, and service delivery, providing the basis for impact reporting to bondholders and regulators.
16Sustainability-Linked Bond Structures
17Beyond use-of-proceeds bonds, Ocean Accounts support sustainability-linked bonds (SLBs) where bond characteristics such as coupon rates are tied to achieving pre-defined sustainability performance targets.11 Account data can inform key performance indicators (KPIs) for ocean-linked SLBs, including:
- 18Changes in marine protected area extent (from extent accounts)
- 19Improvements in reef or mangrove ecosystem condition scores (from condition accounts)
- 20Sustainable fisheries catch rates relative to maximum sustainable yield (from flow accounts)
- 21Blue carbon sequestration rates (from carbon accounts)
22In the Ocean Accounts Framework (TG-0.1), these project-level monetary flows correspond to Edge E3 (monetary flows between assets and economic sectors). The 2025 SNA recommends compilation of supplementary measures for sustainability-linked debt securities as “of which” items within the financial accounts framework, which facilitates monitoring of these instruments.12 For the multilateral finance context of SLBs and the blue bond KPI framework, see TG-1.7 OA and Multilateral Development Finance, Section 3.6.
23Blue Bond KPI-Account Mapping
24Table 1: Blue Bond KPI-Account Mapping
| KPI Category | Example KPI | Account Source | Measurement Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|
| Biodiversity | Coral cover (%) | Condition accounts | Annual |
| Water quality | Nutrient loading | Residual flow accounts | Quarterly |
| Carbon | Blue carbon sequestration | Carbon stock accounts | Annual |
| Livelihood | Fishing employment | Economic accounts | Annual |
25This mapping enables issuers to draw directly on compiled Ocean Accounts when preparing bondholder impact reports. For guidance on compiling the underlying condition and extent accounts referenced in Table 1, see TG-3.1 Assets.
3.2 Debt-for-Nature Swaps
Section titled “3.2 Debt-for-Nature Swaps”1Debt-for-nature swaps involve the restructuring of sovereign debt in exchange for commitments to conservation investments and outcomes. Ocean Accounts provide the technical foundation for quantifying conservation commitments, monitoring implementation, and verifying outcomes in marine debt swaps.
2Quantifying Conservation Commitments
3When structuring debt-for-nature swaps, parties must agree on the nature and scale of conservation commitments that justify debt relief. Ocean Accounts support this process by providing:
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Asset Valuation: Monetary ecosystem asset accounts estimate the present value of expected ecosystem service flows from marine natural capital.13 These valuations inform negotiations over the conservation value being exchanged for debt relief. For guidance on appropriate valuation methods, see TG-1.9 Safe Usage of Monetary Valuation.
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Spatial prioritisation: Spatially explicit extent and condition accounts help identify priority areas for conservation investment, so that debt swap proceeds target areas of highest ecological and economic value.
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Commitment Specificity: Account structures provide the precision needed to define specific, measurable, achievable, relevant, and time-bound (SMART) conservation commitments, such as protecting a defined area of mangroves or achieving specified improvements in reef condition scores.
7Monitoring and Verification
8Post-swap monitoring requires systematic tracking of conservation outcomes over time. Ocean Accounts provide:
- 9Physical Accounts: Track changes in ecosystem extent (hectares of seagrass protected), condition (coral cover percentage), and flows (fish biomass sustained)
- 10Monetary Accounts: Quantify the economic value of ecosystem services protected or restored, enabling comparison with the cost of debt relief
- 11Governance Accounts: Document changes in protected area designation, management effectiveness, and enforcement capacity
12Recent Debt-for-Nature Swap Experience
13Recent debt-for-nature swaps demonstrate the growing scale and sophistication of these instruments, and the extent to which their design relies on systematic environmental data. The Seychelles debt-for-nature swap (completed 2015-2016) restructured approximately USD 21.6 million of sovereign debt in exchange for marine protected area commitments covering 30 per cent of the country’s exclusive economic zone. Belize (2021) completed a debt conversion that retired USD 553 million of sovereign debt (repurchased at a discount) and refinanced through a USD 364 million blue bond, committing the country to expanding marine protection to 30 per cent of its ocean area and maintaining a marine conservation endowment fund. Ecuador (2023) executed the largest debt-for-nature swap to date, repurchasing approximately USD 1.6 billion (face value) of commercial bonds through a new USD 656 million loan, with conservation commitments for the Galapagos Islands marine reserve. In each case, the structuring and ongoing monitoring of conservation commitments relied on systematic spatial and biophysical data that Ocean Accounts produce: ecosystem extent baselines, condition indicators, and protected area management effectiveness metrics.
14Example: Blue Carbon in Debt Swaps
15Coastal and marine ecosystems including mangroves, seagrass meadows, and salt marshes store large quantities of carbon in biomass and sediments.14 Debt-for-nature swaps increasingly incorporate blue carbon commitments, where Ocean Accounts track:
- 16Extent of blue carbon ecosystems protected (extent accounts)
- 17Carbon stock density and sequestration rates (carbon accounts)
- 18Avoided emissions from prevented ecosystem degradation (flow accounts)
- 19Economic value of carbon storage services (monetary accounts)
20For detailed methodology on blue carbon accounting, see TG-6.2 Mangrove and Coastal Wetland Accounting and TG-6.3 Seagrass Ecosystem Accounting.
3.3 Payments for Ecosystem Services
Section titled “3.3 Payments for Ecosystem Services”1Payments for Ecosystem Services (PES) schemes create financial incentives for maintaining or enhancing ecosystem service provision. In marine and coastal contexts, PES schemes may target services including coastal protection, water quality regulation, fisheries habitat, and carbon sequestration.15 Ocean Accounts provide the measurement foundation for designing and operating effective ocean PES schemes.
2Valuation Foundations for PES
3The SEEA EA establishes a hierarchy of valuation methods appropriate for accounting purposes, with a preference for methods based on observable market prices or revealed preferences.16 For ocean PES schemes, relevant valuation approaches include:
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Directly Observable Prices: Where ecosystem services are already traded in markets (e.g., recreational fishing licences, dive permits), observed prices provide exchange values for accounting and PES pricing.
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Resource Rent Methods: For provisioning services like fisheries, resource rent calculations estimate the ecosystem contribution to production by deducting labour, capital, and intermediate input costs from gross output value.17
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Replacement Cost Methods: For regulating services like coastal protection, replacement costs estimate what it would cost to provide equivalent protection through engineered infrastructure.18
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Productivity Change Methods: For supporting services that enhance economic production (e.g., nursery habitat supporting commercial fisheries), production function approaches estimate the marginal contribution of ecosystem inputs.19
8For valuation methodology selection, see TG-2.4 Environmental (including Ecosystem) Goods and Services Section 3.10; TG-1.9 Safe Usage of Monetary Valuation covers whether and when to value at all.
9Designing Account-Based PES Schemes
10Ocean Accounts support PES scheme design by:
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Identifying Beneficiaries: Supply and use tables identify economic units that benefit from marine ecosystem services, informing who should pay for service provision.
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Quantifying Services: Physical ecosystem service flow accounts measure the quantity of services provided (e.g., tonnes of carbon sequestered, hectares of shoreline protected), informing payment amounts.
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Targeting Payments: Spatial accounts identify where ecosystem services are produced and consumed, enabling geographic targeting of payments to providers.
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Monitoring Outcomes: Time-series accounts track whether service provision is maintained or enhanced under PES schemes.
15Limitations and Considerations
16Account compilers should note that the SEEA EA cautions against using PES payment data directly to estimate ecosystem service prices in accounts (para 9.31). In practice, many PES payments function as income support or restoration funding rather than as price signals for specific services, which further limits their direct use in accounting.20
3.4 Carbon and Blue Carbon Finance
Section titled “3.4 Carbon and Blue Carbon Finance”1Blue carbon ecosystems, particularly mangroves, seagrass meadows, and tidal marshes, sequester carbon at higher rates per unit area than many terrestrial ecosystems. Kelp forests are also highly productive, whilst their role in long-term carbon sequestration remains under active investigation.21 Carbon finance mechanisms including voluntary carbon markets, compliance markets, and results-based climate finance increasingly target blue carbon. Ocean Accounts provide essential measurement infrastructure for blue carbon finance.
2Account-Based Carbon Quantification
3Carbon accounts within the Ocean Accounts framework measure:
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Carbon Stocks: Total carbon stored in ecosystem biomass and sediments, measured in tonnes of carbon per ecosystem type and location.
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Sequestration Flows: Annual carbon uptake and storage by blue carbon ecosystems, providing the basis for calculating annual carbon credits.
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Emission Flows: Carbon releases from ecosystem degradation or destruction, informing avoided deforestation/degradation (REDD+) style crediting approaches.
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Net Carbon Balance: The difference between sequestration and emissions, indicating whether an ecosystem is a net carbon sink or source.
8Verification Requirements
9Carbon credit issuance requires measurement, reporting, and verification (MRV). Ocean Accounts contribute to MRV by:
- 10Establishing baselines against which additionality can be assessed
- 11Providing standardised methodologies for carbon quantification aligned with IPCC guidelines
- 12Enabling independent verification through transparent, replicable account compilation
- 13Supporting permanence monitoring through time-series tracking of carbon stocks
14When selecting a crediting standard, project developers should ensure that the chosen methodology aligns with the carbon quantification approaches used in the underlying Ocean Accounts. Several major voluntary carbon market standards have developed or are developing blue carbon methodologies, including the Verified Carbon Standard (VCS, administered by Verra), the Gold Standard, and the American Carbon Registry. These standards differ in their requirements for baseline setting, additionality demonstration, permanence buffers, and leakage assessment. Account compilers can support project developers by ensuring that the physical carbon stock and flow data compiled in Ocean Accounts are structured to meet the data requirements of the relevant crediting standard, whilst maintaining the methodological consistency needed for national-level reporting.
15Integration with Ecosystem Service Accounts
16Blue carbon ecosystems provide multiple ecosystem services beyond carbon sequestration, including coastal protection, fisheries habitat, and water quality regulation.22 Ocean Accounts enable integrated valuation across multiple services, informing decisions about:
- 17Stacking carbon credits with payments for other services
- 18Prioritising restoration investments based on total service value
- 19Avoiding perverse incentives that might optimise carbon at the expense of other services
20For ecosystem-specific carbon accounting guidance, see TG-6.2 Mangrove and Coastal Wetland Accounting.
3.5 Disclosure and Verification Requirements
Section titled “3.5 Disclosure and Verification Requirements”1The mapping between ocean account outputs and the TNFD, IFRS S1 and CSRD disclosure requirements is set out in TG-1.11 OA and the Private Sector Section 3.3, which is the single owner of disclosure-framework mapping in this publication. Two requirements are specific to instrument-level finance and are stated here.
2Verification requires a method a third party can re-run. Assurance of an impact claim rests on the underlying data being transparent, sourced, time-series consistent and spatially precise enough to tie to the project boundary. Accounts compiled to international statistical standards satisfy this in a way that bespoke project monitoring generally does not, which is the practical reason to build instrument KPIs on account definitions rather than on project-specific metrics.
3Covenant metrics must be defined against a compilation cycle, not a calendar. An instrument that requires an annual condition figure from an account compiled triennially will breach on timing rather than on performance. KPIs should name the account, the table, the indicator and the compilation cycle they depend on, and the reporting schedule should be set to follow that cycle. Section 3.6 below sets out which account each instrument type draws on.
3.6 Downward Connections to Accounts, Indicators, and Data
Section titled “3.6 Downward Connections to Accounts, Indicators, and Data”1Account Components Supporting Project Finance
2Project finance instruments draw on multiple Ocean Account components:
3Ecosystem Condition Accounts: Provide baseline and monitoring data for ecosystem health indicators referenced in bond covenants, PES agreements, and debt swap commitments. Condition indicators include species richness, structural complexity, water quality parameters, and functional state metrics. For methodology, see TG-3.1 Assets.
4Ecosystem Extent Accounts: Track changes in spatial coverage of marine habitats resulting from conservation or restoration investments. Extent changes enable verification of protection commitments in debt-for-nature swaps and blue bonds. Spatial data should be compiled in formats compatible with project boundaries defined in finance agreements.
5Ecosystem Service Flow Accounts: Quantify physical and monetary flows of provisioning, regulating, and cultural services. Service flow accounts provide the basis for valuing project benefits in cost-benefit analysis and for structuring PES payment schedules.
6Asset Accounts: Record opening stocks, additions, reductions, and closing stocks of marine ecosystem assets. Asset accounts enable net present value calculations used in restoration project appraisal and in valuing conservation commitments for debt swaps.
7Key Indicators for Project-Level Decisions
8Table 2: Project Finance Indicators from Ocean Accounts
| Indicator | Account Source | Application | Typical Unit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mangrove extent baseline | Extent accounts | Debt swap commitment definition | Hectares |
| Coral condition trend | Condition accounts | Blue bond KPI monitoring | Index (0-1 or 0-100 depending on national convention) |
| Blue carbon sequestration rate | Carbon flow accounts | Carbon credit issuance | tCO2e/year |
| Coastal protection value | Service flow accounts (monetary) | Restoration project CBA | Currency/year |
| Fishery resource rent | Provisioning service accounts | PES payment calculation | Currency/tonne |
| Tourist expenditure (marine) | Cultural service accounts | Tourism concession valuation | Currency/year |
| Water quality (nutrient load) | Residual flow accounts | Pollution control bond KPI | kg N, P/year |
9Data Requirements and Sources
10Effective project-level application requires fit-for-purpose data at appropriate spatial and temporal resolution:
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Spatial resolution: Project boundaries typically range from <1 km² (local restoration sites) to 10,000s km² (large marine protected areas). Account data should be compiled at Basic Spatial Unit (BSU) resolution that enables aggregation to project scales.
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Temporal frequency: Finance instruments require baseline measurements (pre-project), implementation monitoring (annual or more frequent), and ex-post evaluation (typically 3-10 years post-project). Account compilation cycles should align with financing instrument reporting requirements.
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Data sources: Combining remote sensing (for extent and some condition indicators), field surveys (for detailed biophysical parameters), administrative data (for economic activity and regulatory enforcement), and scientific studies (for service flow quantification and valuation coefficients).
3.7 Worked Example: Mangrove Restoration Project Cost-Benefit Analysis
Section titled “3.7 Worked Example: Mangrove Restoration Project Cost-Benefit Analysis”1This section presents a synthetic worked example demonstrating how Ocean Accounts data support cost-benefit analysis for a coastal mangrove restoration project. The example is entirely illustrative and uses simplified assumptions to demonstrate accounting logic. Actual project appraisals would draw on site-specific biophysical and economic data.
2Project Context
3A coastal state proposes to restore 200 hectares of degraded mangrove habitat in a coastal lagoon system. The restoration involves hydrological reconnection, seedling planting, and management of invasive species over a 5-year implementation period. Project costs are estimated at USD 3 million (capital costs) plus USD 200,000 per year (ongoing management) over a 20-year evaluation horizon.
4Account-Based Baseline
5Ocean Accounts provide pre-project baseline data:
| Account Component | Baseline Condition | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Ecosystem extent | 50 ha remnant mangrove (severely degraded); 150 ha former mangrove (mudflat/bare ground) | Extent accounts, BSU aggregation |
| Ecosystem condition | Condition index = 25/100 (severely degraded remnant); 0/100 (lost areas) | Condition accounts, field surveys |
| Carbon stocks | 20 tC/ha in remnant (below reference of 150 tC/ha); 0 tC/ha in lost areas | Carbon accounts |
| Coastal protection service | Limited wave attenuation; property at risk from storm surge | Service flow accounts (physical) |
| Fisheries nursery service | Low juvenile fish density (10% of reference condition) | Service flow accounts (biological surveys) |
6Project Scenario: Ecosystem Changes
7Post-restoration trajectory based on comparable restoration projects (Years 0-20):
| Metric | Year 0 (Baseline) | Year 5 | Year 10 | Year 20 (Mature) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restored extent | 0 ha | 180 ha | 195 ha | 200 ha |
| Condition index (restored area) | 0 | 40 | 65 | 85 |
| Carbon stock (restored area, tC/ha) | 0 | 40 | 80 | 130 |
| Fisheries nursery service (% reference) | 10% | 45% | 70% | 90% |
8Ecosystem Service Valuation
9Using the methods in TG-2.4 Environmental (including Ecosystem) Goods and Services Section 3.10 and the SEEA Valuation Guidelines:
10Coastal Protection Service (Avoided Damage Cost Method, Tier 5)
11Mangrove restoration reduces flood risk to 150 coastal properties. Based on flood risk modelling, expected annual damages decline from USD 400,000 (baseline) to USD 100,000 (post-restoration). Annual benefit = USD 300,000/year (reached at Year 10; linear increase Years 0-10).
12Blue Carbon Sequestration (Directly Observable Prices, Tier 1)
13Restored mangroves sequester carbon at an average rate of 2.5 tC/ha/year over the 20-year horizon (an optimistic assumption reflecting productive restoration sites, whilst typical rates may be 1.0-2.5 tC/ha/year depending on species and site conditions). At 200 ha and a carbon price of USD 15/tCO2e (voluntary market), annual carbon benefit = 200 ha × 2.5 tC/ha/yr × 3.67 tCO2e/tC × USD 15/tCO2e = USD 27,500/year (Years 5-20, zero Years 0-5 due to establishment lag).
14Fisheries Productivity Enhancement (Productivity Change Method, Tier 3)
15Production function analysis indicates that each 10% improvement in nursery habitat quality increases local fishery catch value by USD 25,000/year. From baseline (10%) to mature condition (90%), the fishery benefit reaches USD 200,000/year (linear increase over 20 years).
16Cost-Benefit Analysis Results
17Table 3: Project CBA Summary (20-year horizon, 4% discount rate)
| Item | Total (NPV, USD millions) | Annualised (USD/year) |
|---|---|---|
| Costs | ||
| Capital costs (Years 0-5) | 3.00 | — |
| Management costs (Years 0-20) | 2.72 | 200,000 |
| Total Costs | 5.72 | — |
| Benefits | ||
| Coastal protection (avoided damages) | 2.90 | 300,000 |
| Blue carbon revenue | 0.25 | 27,500 |
| Fisheries productivity | 1.25 | 200,000 |
| Total Benefits | 4.41 | — |
| Net Present Value | −1.31 | — |
| Benefit-Cost Ratio | 0.77 | — |
18Interpretation
19On the benefit streams stated above, the NPV is negative (−USD 1.3 million) and the benefit-cost ratio is 0.77: the monetised benefits do not cover the costs over the 20-year horizon. This is not unusual for ecosystem restoration, where non-monetised co-benefits (biodiversity, cultural services, resilience) are material but not captured in exchange-value-based CBA, but it means the monetised result alone does not establish that the project is economically viable.
22Sensitivity to Valuation Assumptions
23Project viability is sensitive to key assumptions. Sensitivity results reflect re-discounting all benefit and cost streams at the alternative rate:
- 24Discount rate: At 3% (lower rate reflecting long-term social preference), NPV improves to −USD 1.0 million. At 6% (higher rate), NPV falls to −USD 1.8 million. The NPV is negative at all three rates.
- 25Carbon price: At USD 30/tCO2e (premium voluntary market), carbon benefit doubles to USD 0.5 million, increasing BCR to 0.81.
- 26Coastal protection: If storm surge damages are underestimated and true baseline risk is USD 600,000/year, coastal protection benefit increases to USD 4.4 million, yielding NPV of USD 0.1 million.
27Account Integration
28This CBA draws entirely on Ocean Accounts components:
- 29Extent and condition baselines establish the “no action” counterfactual.
- 30Carbon accounts provide sequestration rates consistent with IPCC methodologies.
- 31Service flow accounts (coastal protection, fisheries nursery) provide the physical and monetary valuation basis.
- 32Spatial accounts enable allocation of benefits to specific beneficiary groups (coastal property owners, fishing communities).
33Project developers preparing finance proposals for multilateral development banks or impact investors can reference this account-based CBA structure to demonstrate alignment with international statistical standards whilst meeting MDB economic analysis requirements described in TG-1.7 OA and Multilateral Development Finance.
3.8 Application Procedure for Project Developers
Section titled “3.8 Application Procedure for Project Developers”1Step 1: Define Project Scope and Boundaries
2Identify the geographic extent, temporal horizon, and intended outcomes of the financed activity:
- 3Map project boundaries to Ocean Accounts spatial units (Basic Spatial Units or aggregated zones)
- 4Specify project timeline (implementation period, monitoring duration, benefit accrual period)
- 5List intended conservation, restoration, or sustainable use outcomes in measurable terms
6Step 2: Establish Account-Based Baselines
7Extract pre-project baseline data from Ocean Accounts or compile project-specific accounts:
- 8Ecosystem extent and condition for relevant habitat types (mangroves, seagrass, coral reefs, etc.)
- 9Current ecosystem service flows (provisioning, regulating, cultural services)
- 10Economic activity levels (fisheries extraction, tourism, coastal development)
- 11Carbon stocks and sequestration rates (for blue carbon projects)
12Consult TG-3.1 Assets for extent and condition account methodology and relevant ecosystem-specific circulars (e.g., TG-6.2 Mangrove and Coastal Wetland Accounting) for detailed measurement guidance.
13Step 3: Define Counterfactual and Project Scenarios
14Develop “without project” and “with project” scenarios:
- 15Counterfactual (baseline): Project ecosystem trajectories under business-as-usual (e.g., continued degradation, stable but low condition, regulatory-driven slow improvement)
- 16Project scenario: Project ecosystem trajectories with intervention (e.g., extent increase from restoration, condition improvement from management, service flow enhancement)
17Scenario development should be grounded in scientific evidence from comparable projects and ecological understanding of recovery trajectories.
18Step 4: Value Ecosystem Service Changes
19Apply the valuation methods in TG-2.4 Environmental (including Ecosystem) Goods and Services Section 3.10 to quantify project benefits:
- 20Identify ecosystem services affected by the project (e.g., coastal protection, carbon sequestration, fisheries habitat)
- 21Select appropriate valuation methods following the SEEA preference order (directly observable prices > resource rent > replacement cost > avoided damage)
- 22Calculate annual ecosystem service values under counterfactual and project scenarios
- 23Compute incremental benefits as the difference between scenarios
24For project-level cost-benefit analysis submitted to multilateral development banks, supplement exchange values from accounts with welfare values as described in TG-1.7 OA and Multilateral Development Finance Section 3.2.
25Step 5: Structure Finance Instrument
26Design the finance instrument drawing on account data:
27For blue bonds:
- 28Define KPIs linked to account indicators (e.g., extent protected, condition index change, service flow targets)
- 29Establish KPI measurement protocols consistent with account compilation cycles
- 30Specify reporting frequency and verification mechanisms
31For debt-for-nature swaps:
- 32Quantify conservation commitments using monetary ecosystem asset accounts (NPV of service flows)
- 33Translate commitments into SMART targets (e.g., “protect 10,000 hectares of mangrove with condition index >60 by Year 5”)
- 34Define monitoring frameworks using account structures
35For PES schemes:
- 36Identify service beneficiaries using supply and use table structures
- 37Set payment levels based on ecosystem service values from accounts
- 38Design payment triggers linked to account-measurable outcomes (extent maintained, condition improved, service delivery verified)
39Step 6: Establish Monitoring and Reporting Framework
40Align project monitoring with Ocean Accounts compilation:
- 41Schedule monitoring activities to coincide with national account compilation cycles where feasible
- 42Use consistent methodologies for extent, condition, and service flow measurement
- 43Adopt spatial data formats compatible with national Ocean Accounts (enable aggregation of project data into national totals)
- 44Prepare for third-party verification by documenting data sources, methods, and quality indicators
45Step 7: Prepare Disclosure Documents
46Prepare project disclosure materials aligned with TNFD and IFRS standards:
- 47Location disclosure: Map project area in relation to priority biomes and protected areas
- 48Dependency disclosure: Identify and quantify project dependencies on marine ecosystem services using supply and use table logic
- 49Impact disclosure: Quantify positive impacts (ecosystem extent increase, condition improvement) using account metrics
- 50Target disclosure: Specify quantitative targets for ecosystem outcomes using account-derived indicators
51Consult TNFD sector guidance for ocean industries to identify sector-specific disclosure metrics relevant to the project.
3.9 From ground-level projects to investor due diligence
Section titled “3.9 From ground-level projects to investor due diligence”1A persistent challenge in ocean finance is the gap between ground-level project development and the information requirements of institutional investors. Ocean Accounts bridge this gap by providing a common measurement framework across project stages.
2Pipeline development. The project pipeline for ocean finance typically follows a progression from concept to bankability:
- 3
Concept stage: Ocean Accounts establish the baseline extent and condition of the target ecosystem and quantify the ecosystem services at stake.
- 4
Feasibility stage: cost-benefit analysis draws on monetary valuations of ecosystem services, physical flow data for carbon sequestration estimates, and economic activity data for employment and livelihood projections.
- 5
Preparation stage: the impact indicators embedded in financial covenants, the monitoring framework that will verify outcomes, and the baseline data against which performance will be measured all come from compiled accounts.
- 6
Transaction stage: account data are referenced in offering documents, prospectuses, or loan agreements. The readiness diagnostic in TG-0.8 Implementation Readiness Assessment Section 3.8 can be used to confirm that the evidence base meets investor requirements.
7Bankability assessment. Financial institutions assess bankability against criteria that differ somewhat from development effectiveness criteria. Ocean Accounts contribute to bankability by:
- 8Providing auditable baseline data that reduces information asymmetry between project developers and investors
- 9Enabling standardised risk assessment through time-series condition and extent data
- 10Supporting revenue projections for ecosystem service-based revenue streams (e.g., carbon credits, tourism fees, fisheries royalties) using physical and monetary supply and use tables
- 11Creating a monitoring infrastructure that reduces the cost of ongoing investor oversight
12Aggregation for scale. Individual ocean projects are often too small to attract institutional investment directly. Ocean Accounts facilitate aggregation by providing a common measurement framework across projects: when all projects in a bundle use the same accounting classifications, spatial definitions, and reporting formats, the aggregated portfolio can be assessed and monitored using consolidated account data.
13The role of intermediaries. Project preparation facilities, conservation finance intermediaries, and national development banks can use Ocean Accounts as a quality standard, requiring that projects in their pipeline compile specified account types before proceeding to transaction stage. This approach ensures consistent evidence quality across the pipeline and reduces the risk of project failure due to inadequate environmental data.
4. Acknowledgements
Section titled “4. Acknowledgements”1Authors: [To be confirmed]
2Reviewers: [To be confirmed]
5. References
Section titled “5. References”- 1
United Nations et al. (2025). System of National Accounts 2025, Chapter 35: Measuring the sustainability of well-being, paras. 35.120-35.127. ↩
- 2
United Nations (2015). Transforming our world: the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, A/RES/70/1, SDG 14 targets. ↩
- 3
Convention on Biological Diversity (2022). Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework, CBD/COP/15/L.25, Target 15. ↩
- 4
NCAVES and MAIA (2022). Monetary valuation of ecosystem services and ecosystem assets for ecosystem accounting: Interim Version 1st edition, Chapter 4: Cost-based approaches and their role in project appraisal. ↩
- 5
Taskforce on Nature-related Financial Disclosures (2023). Recommendations of the Taskforce on Nature-related Financial Disclosures, Metrics and Targets pillar. ↩
- 6
United Nations et al. (2021). System of Environmental-Economic Accounting — Ecosystem Accounting (SEEA EA), Chapter 12: Applications of ecosystem accounting, paras. 12.16-12.18 on cost-benefit analysis. ↩
- 7
Verra (2023). VM0033 Methodology for Tidal Wetland and Seagrass Restoration, Version 3.0. Requirements for additionality demonstration and baseline scenario development. ↩
- 8
International Capital Market Association (2023). Green Bond Principles, Appendix 1: Green Bond Project Categories. ↩
- 9
United Nations et al. (2021). System of Environmental-Economic Accounting — Ecosystem Accounting (SEEA EA), Chapter 4: Ecosystem Extent Accounts. ↩
- 10
NCAVES and MAIA (2022). Monetary valuation of ecosystem services and ecosystem assets for ecosystem accounting: Interim Version 1st edition, Chapter 2: Foundations. ↩
- 11
International Capital Market Association (2023). Sustainability-Linked Bond Principles. ↩
- 12
United Nations et al. (2025). System of National Accounts 2025, Table 35.3: Reporting structure for ESG and green financial instruments. ↩
- 13
United Nations et al. (2021). System of Environmental-Economic Accounting — Ecosystem Accounting (SEEA EA), Chapter 10: Accounting for ecosystem assets in monetary terms. ↩
- 14
Macreadie, P.I. et al. (2021). Blue carbon as a natural climate solution. Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, 2, 826-839. ↩
- 15
OECD (2017). Marine Protected Areas: Economics, Management and Effective Policy Mixes, Chapter 5: Payments for ecosystem services. ↩
- 16
NCAVES and MAIA (2022). Monetary valuation of ecosystem services and ecosystem assets for ecosystem accounting, Chapter 3: Valuation methods. ↩
- 17
United Nations et al. (2014). System of Environmental-Economic Accounting 2012 — Central Framework (SEEA CF), Annex A5.1: The net present value method for valuation of stocks. ↩
- 18
NCAVES and MAIA (2022). Monetary valuation of ecosystem services and ecosystem assets for ecosystem accounting, Section 3.2.5.1: Replacement cost. ↩
- 19
NCAVES and MAIA (2022). Monetary valuation of ecosystem services and ecosystem assets for ecosystem accounting, Section 3.2.3.2: Productivity change method. ↩
- 20
United Nations et al. (2021). System of Environmental-Economic Accounting — Ecosystem Accounting (SEEA EA), para. 9.31. ↩
- 21
Mcleod, E. et al. (2011). A blueprint for blue carbon: toward an improved understanding of the role of vegetated coastal habitats in sequestering CO2. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 9(10), 552-560. ↩
- 22
Barbier, E.B. et al. (2011). The value of estuarine and coastal ecosystem services. Ecological Monographs, 81(2), 169-193. ↩
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Cite this circular
OA and Project-Level Finance (2026) (GOAP Technical Guidance on Ocean Accounting, TG-1.8, v0.9.1). GOAP Secretariat. https://guidance.oceanaccounts.org/circulars/section-1/1-8-project-finance/
BibTeX
@techreport{goap_tg_1_8_2026,
title = {OA and Project-Level Finance},
institution = {Global Ocean Accounts Partnership Secretariat},
series = {GOAP Technical Guidance on Ocean Accounting},
number = {TG-1.8},
year = {2026},
version = {0.9.1},
url = {https://guidance.oceanaccounts.org/circulars/section-1/1-8-project-finance/}
}© 2026 Global Ocean Accounts Partnership. Licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0. Consultation drafts are not adopted GOAP guidance.